
My Dear Sean (My Southsider friend, Sean O'Connor),
I want to send you some more analysis, relating to your beloved White Sox. You've been obsessing about the state of things in Ozzie Guillen's clubhouse. (For the record, Guillen is a great manager. He plays old-school, like Casey Stengel did with the Yankees. And, Jay Mariotti may not be a flaming f%#*ot, but I'd rather eat the soap than shower with him.)
I know that you are starting to sweat it, finding yourself 2.5 games back at the end of June. The good news is this: Assuming your team exposes the Cubs for the posers that they are (with the exception of Zambrano) today, you will only have one fewer loss on 7/01/06 than your team did on 7/1/05.
2005 record on July 1 - 53-25 Win %: 67.9
2006 record on July 1 - 52-27 Win %: 65.8
To be truthful, I wouldn't call July a cake-walk where the schedule is concerned. But, your next six games are against Cubs and Orioles. Worst case: 5-1. Then, if you can take two out of three from BoSox prior to the All-Star Break, your Southsiders will have raised the win-percentage to 67%. I think the Tigers have a more difficult time ahead, having to travel to the West Coast for series against the surging A's and Mariners. So, patience is called for here. You may be looking at a dead-heat beginning the second half of the season.
Having set you up with my optimistic tack, I have got to (in the name of truth, justice and Bob Hope, the bravest American never to carry a gun) tell you the basis of your unnatural sense of impending doom regarding the 2006 campaign.
Last Year's White Sox Team ERA - AL #1 3.61 ERA
This Year's White Sox Team ERA - AL #5 4.30 ERA
At this point, the Detroit Tigers are #1 at 3.45 Tm ERA. As Casey Stengel said, "Good pitching will always stop good hitting and vice-versa." Yep. It's all about the pitching. Stengel also said about good pitchers, "Nobody ever had too many of them." But, he never saw the 2006 Tigers.